Games

Games

Further explorations into Second Life Trading Strategies

Back in September, I got into a discussion with John Raymaker of Second Life Trading Strategies. At the time, he had been doing a lot of buy and hold type trading, and I was doing a lot of day trading. Since then, I’ve been busy with other things and the markets have tightened enough so that risk of a market move became greater than the expected profits between the bid and ask spread. So, I set aside my day trading for a while as I worked on other projects.

However, recent events caused me to step into the day trading markets again. There is an old saying, “Buy the rumor, sell the news” which fits well with trading in Second Life. On November 19th, Lindsay Druart announced that All Bank Activity Halted Until Further Notice. Others were quick offer their opinions, and Maelstrom Baphomet issued a STRONG SELL which sent share prices tumbling.

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Commodity Trading, Coming to Second Life

Back in October, I wrote an entry about Ginko Financial Selling land to Quanta Torok. Ginko Financial was the bank in Second Life that collapses and had its deposits turned into bonds on the World Stock Exchange, only to see those bonds become worthless.

Quanta was planning to set up a bank in Second Life where the deposits where backed by gold bullion at The Bullion Vault in Zurich. I’ve been interested in watching commodity trading coming into Second Life. I had a great discussion about this with Quanta when he first bought the land and I’ve been waiting for the next developments.

Today, IntLibber Brautigan announced that BNT has signed a contract with Andalusia Reserve & Exchange to ‘develop his bank software and create a unique inworld precious metals exchange upon which investors can speculate on RL precious metals movements as well as hedge their investments’

Over on SL Reports, one person questioned the wisdom and legality of such investments. Wouldn’t this run into issues with the Patriot Act in the United States, and particularly with anti-money laundering provisions? Also, why buy and sell commodities in Second Life when it is easy enough to do in Real Life? Why not simply go to the Bullion Vault and buy gold directly there?

A reason to buy and sell commodities in Second Life as opposed to in traditional exchanges is that you could, if people set up the precious metals exchanges well, trade in much smaller blocks. I don’t know what the smallest trade you can do on the Bullion Exchange is, but I believe it may be a gram. Currently, a gram of gold costs around U.S.$ 26. In Linden dollars, that is close to L$ 7000. A lot of people may not feel experimenting in and learning from the commodity markets if the smallest unit of trade is that large. However, if the exchanges offer milligrams of gold around L$ 7, it could be a wonderful experience for people to buy a few milligrams of gold here and there. At this level, it might also stay below the radar on issues of money laundering.

As I’ve noted elsewhere, trading in milligrams of gold could also have benefits for transferring currency from one virtual world to another. Likewise, it would be great to buy a milligram of silver or a milliliter of crude oil.

More importantly, another person asks, “Is trading in RL commodities futures ‘crossing the line’?” Perhaps it is, and perhaps that is a good thing. We need to move away from this idea that Second Life is just a game with no real world financial implications. RL banks and other corporations are operating in Second Life and I believe we will see more and more of this. It will raise interesting legal issues as Linden Lab and various countries deal with the implications of a vibrant microcurrency. Undoubtedly, it will bring new regulations into Second Life, yet if this is approached wisely, it could be a great benefit for financial markets, both in and beyond Second Life. It could be a great benefit to the folks and Linden lab, and an even greater boon to those who attempt to establish legitimate financial markets in Second Life.

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Random Things

If it wasn’t for National Blog Posting Month (NaBloPoMo), I might have taken today off and not put up a blog post. But, there is something beneficial about trying to be disciplined in writing, so here is my blog post. It is a collection of random things, of which there are plenty this Thanksgiving weekend.

NaBloPoMo takes its inspiration from National Novel Writing Month (NaNoWriMo). I wrote my 50,544 word first draft of a novel during the first 18 days of November. I haven’t gone back to start editing it yet. I will start that soon enough. Miranda is back in town for the weekend. Today, she went into New York City to see old friends from camp. She is bringing copies of her novel, Subtle Differences which she wrote last year and published at Lulu press. She will then visit some old friends from school this evening and show them the novel. (If you haven’t gone out and gotten a copy of her novel, please do.) Today’s New London Day has an article about Connecticut participants in NaNoWriMo.

For developments in the Avery Doninger case, I received to emails today. One is the brief that was filed by the defendants. I haven’t read it yet, but people close to the case who have read it suggests that it lacks verisimilitude. Over at the Cool Justice Report, Andy Thibault has an article about Paula Schwartz’s vacation to Aruba postponing an FOI hearing. In other Connecticut news, Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz sent out an email today talking about the success of the “first general election since lever voting machines were decertified in July 2007”. The email also listed the candidates that will be in on the Democratic primary ballot, “Joe Biden; Hillary Clinton; Chris Dodd; John Edwards; Mike Gravel; Dennis Kucinich; Barack Obama; Bill Richardson”

A lot has been going on in Second Life as well. On Monday, I wrote about the latest banking scandal in Second Life. I’ve watched the stock price of LNL fluctuate, and have been buying on the dips. As a general rule, when bad news comes out, people sell in a frenzy. The price drops, and then when people find the news isn’t as bad as everyone feared, the price bounces back. We still don’t know how bad the news about LNL really is, but the price has started to come back and today, Tyrian Camilo wrote a long blog post about the banking scandal and how he dealt with it for his bank.

Also in Second Life, Xavier Mohr announced he was stepping as CEO of Second Life Reports. This brought about a lot of volatility in that stock.

Yet most of my day has been spent dealing with family stuff. It started off by driving Mairead and her friend, Lauren, who is visiting for Thanksgiving to the train station. Then, I dropped Miranda at a friend’s house so she could begin her travels. Next stop was Dick and Leanne’s house. I updated some firmware on my brother-in-law’s computer, tweaked Kim’s phone so she can send text, pictures and videos. Then, it was time of an extended family hike. You can see pictures on my Flickr account.

So, while I haven’t had a lot of time to think out a post shedding any great insights, I’ve sure got a lot of random things to talk about on this day after Thanksgiving.

Educational Opportunities in the Second Life Stock Markets

Some people view Second Life as a game. Some think of it as the next generation browser. Others look at the business opportunities in Second Life, and still others focus on the educational opportunities in Second Life. All of these views can be seen in the way people relate to the stock markets in Second Life.

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The Latest Second Life Banking Crisis

This morning, L&L Bank and Trust (LNL) in Second Life, announced that their ATMs had been hacked. Maelstrom Baphomet wrote a heated blog post about the topic. Later, he wrote detailing reports of various banks hit by the hacking.

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